Costs and Benefits of Economic Growth
The advantages and disadvantages of economic
growth are fiercely debated by economists, environmentalists and other
commentators. In this note we consider some of the economic and social costs
and benefits from expanding levels of production and consumption. In particular
we focus on the idea of sustainable growth.
The Benefits of Economic Growth
Improvements
in living standards: Growth is an important avenue through which better living
standards and lower rates of poverty can be achieved. This is particularly true
for countries who regard growth as a key route for poverty reduction among
their population. According to a report published in August 2004 by the Asian Development Bank
(ADB), rapid growth in many of the countries in the Asian region has reduced
the number of people living on less than $1 a day fell to 22% of the region's
population in 2002. That compares with 34% in 1990 and shows "considerable
progress in the fight against poverty."
Rising
Employment: Growth stimulates higher employment. As we can see from the
chart below, the sustained growth in the British economy since 1993 has helped
to bring about a large rise in total employment, the number of people in work
has risen from 2.53 million at the start of 1993 to nearly 29 million thirteen
years later. This is a very impressive employment creation record, much better
than most other countries in the European Union.
The
accelerator effect of growth on capital investment: Rising AD
and output encourages investment in capital machinery – this helps to sustain
growth by increasing LRAS.
Greater
business confidence: Growth has a positive impact on company profits & business
confidence – good news for the stock market and for the growth of small and
large businesses.
The “fiscal
dividend” to the government: Government finances are cyclical
in nature because a growing economy boosts the tax revenues flowing into the
Treasury and it also provides the government with more money to finance
spending projects.
Potential
environmental benefits – richer countries have more resources
available to invest in cleaner technologies. And, as nations move to later
stages of development, energy intensity levels start to fall. Much depends on how
many resources an economy is willing to devote to environmental improvement and
protection. Over the last thirty years, the ratio of energy consumption per unit of GDP
has fallen quite significantly. The reduction in energy intensity is a
reflection of improvements in production technologies and also a gradual switch
towards a low carbon economy. Much more progress needs to be made.
Organisations such as the Carbon Trust sponsor research into low carbon
technologies and many
The Disadvantages of Economic
Growth
Economic growth does not come risk-free. Although our material
progress can be measured in part by the growth of national output, income and
spending, if the economy grows too quickly, it can bring about short and
long-term problems.
Inflation risks: There is
the danger of demand-pull and cost-push inflation if demand grows faster than
long run productive potential High and rising inflation can be destabilizing
for an economy because it puts pressure on interest rates to rise and can cause
a loss of competitiveness for domestic businesses in international markets
The environment: Economic
growth cannot be separated from its environmental impact. Fast growth of
production and consumption can create negative externalities such as increased
noise and air pollution and road congestion. Environmental damage can have a
negative effect on our quality of life and limits our sustainable rate of
growth. For example, road transport is responsible for 25% of UK CO2 emissions
once emissions from fuel processing and vehicle manufacturing are taken into
account.
Inequalities of income and wealth: Not all of
the benefits of growth are evenly distributed. We can see a rise in real GDP
but also growing income and wealth inequality in society which is reflected in
an increase in relative poverty. The Gini coefficient is one way to measure the
inequalities in the distribution of income and wealth in different countries.
The higher the value for the Gini co-efficient (the maximum value is 1), then
greater the inequality. Countries such as Japan , Denmark and Sweden
typically have very low values for the Gini coefficients; whereas African and
South American countries have an enormous gulf between the incomes of the
richest and the poorest elements of the population.
Regional disparities: Although
average living standards may be rising, the gap between rich and poor can widen
leading to an increase in relative poverty and a widening of the gap between
different regions.
Sustainability of Economic
Growth
Many of the world’s most valuable finite resources are being
extracted at such a rapid rate that it questions the long-term sustainability
of growth. Renewable
resources are also being depleted because of over-consumption. Examples
include the destruction of rain forests, the over-exploitation of fish stocks
and loss of natural habitat created through the construction of new roads,
hotels, retail malls and industrial estates. Some of the main environmental
threats include:
- The depletion of
global resource base and the impact of global warming. There are plenty of
examples around of the “tragedy of the commons”, the permanent loss of
what should be renewable resources that result from over-extraction of
some of our environmental resources.
- A huge expansion of
waste and pollution of the environment
- Over-population
(particularly in urban areas) putting pressure on scarce land and other
resources
- Species extinction
leading to a loss of bio-diversity
The current Government supports the concept of sustainable
development and focuses on four main objectives set out below:
- Social progress
which recognises the needs of everyone: Everyone should
share in the benefits of increased prosperity and a clean and safe
environment. Needs must not be met by treating others, including future generations
and people elsewhere in the world, unfairly.
- Effective protection
of the environment: We must limit global environmental
threats, such as climate change to protect human health and safety from
hazards such as poor air quality and toxic chemicals and to protect things
which people need or value, such as wildlife, landscapes and historic
buildings.
- Prudent use of
natural resources: We need to make sure that non-renewable
resources are used efficiently and that alternatives are developed to
replace them in due course. Renewable resources, such as water, should be
used in ways that do not endanger the resource or cause serious damage or
pollution.
- Maintenance of high
and stable levels of economic growth and employment, so that everyone
can share in high living standards and greater job opportunities.
Key points
- Economic growth
provides important long-term benefits for the population of a country. It
can be a route out of poverty and it creates jobs and wealth.
- Inequalities in
income and wealth mean that, in many countries, the benefits from growth
are not distributed evenly. This raises questions of equity (fairness) and
impacts on our interpretations of how to measure standards of living.
- The environmental
consequences of growth cannot be ignored.
- Sustainable growth
meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future
generations to meet their own needs.
- There are
environmental benefits from countries becoming richer
- However, there are major concerns
about the impact of fast growth on the world’s environmental resources.
Economic growth is just one indicator of a country’s economic performance. Alternative measures, such as the United Nation’s Human Development Index & the Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare, take account of other indicators.
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